Overview Brochure Contents Methodology

Report Contents Page

Introduction
  • 1. Global CSP Industry Analysis
    • 1.1. Current Status of the CSP Industry
    • 1.2. CSP Industry Outlook
    • 1.3. CSP Drivers and Barriers
    • 1.4. Technology Alternatives
    • 1.5. CSP Industry Review
      • 1.5.1. Feed-in Tariff Moratorium in Spain
      • 1.5.2. CSP Projects Switching to PV in the USA
      • 1.5.3. End of the Loan Guarantee Program in the USA
      • 1.5.4. Decrease in US Gas Prices – Shale Gas Boom
      • 1.5.5. Indigenous Group Concerns and Environmental Issues in the USA
      • 1.5.6. Abengoa’s Presence in the CSP Market
      • 1.5.7. First Round of 500-MW Ouarzazate Complex in Morocco
      • 1.5.8. Australia Moving Slower
      • 1.5.9. Solar Millennium and Solar Trust of America File for Bankruptcy
      • 1.5.10. TuNur by DESERTEC: Nur Energie plans 2 GW in Tunisia
      • 1.5.11. UAE Committed to CSP
      • 1.5.12. Saudi Arabia Targets 25 GW of CSP by 2032
      • 1.5.13. South Africa: First Round Complete, Second Round Highly Subscribed
      • 1.5.14. India Running Behind Schedule
      • 1.5.15. PV Panels from China and Trade Issues with the USA
  • 2. Global CSP Market
    • 2.1. India
      • 2.1.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.1.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.1.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.2. Saudi Arabia
      • 2.2.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.2.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.2.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.3. USA
      • 2.3.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.3.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.3.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.4. South Africa
      • 2.4.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.4.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.4.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.5. Chile
      • 2.5.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.5.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.5.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.6. Morocco
      • 2.6.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.6.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.6.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.7. China
      • 2.7.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.7.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.7.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.8. Australia
      • 2.8.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.8.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.8.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.9. Algeria
      • 2.9.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.9.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.9.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.10. Spain
      • 2.10.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.10.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.10.3. Local Market Insight
      • 2.11. United Arab Emirates
      • 2.11.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.11.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.11.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.12. Tunisia
      • 2.12.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.12.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.12.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.13. Egypt
      • 2.13.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.13.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.13.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.14. Israel
      • 2.14.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.14.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.14.3. Local Market Insight
    • 2.15. Jordan
      • 2.15.1. CSP-specific Policy and Electricity Market
      • 2.15.2. CSP-specific Market Status
      • 2.15.3. Local Market Insight
  • 3. Market Forecast
    • 3.1. Methodology
    • 3.2. Forecasting Scenarios
    • 3.3. Global Market Forecast
    • 3.4. LCOE Forecast
    • 3.5. CSP Market Forecast by Geographic Region
    • 3.5.1. Spain
    • 3.5.2. United States
    • 3.5.3. India
    • 3.5.4. MENA
    • 3.5.5. South Africa
    • 3.5.6. Asia Pacific
  • 4. Conclusions
  • 5. References
    • a) Optimistic Inclination
    • b) Conservative Inclination
    • c) Pessimistic Inclination
List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Main Milestones of the CSP Industry
  • Figure 2: Global Cumulative CSP Installed Capacity
  • Figure 3: Operating CSP Capacity (Q1 2012)
  • Figure 4: Top Developers of Operating Plants (Q1 2012)
  • Figure 5: CSP Capacity Under Construction (Q1 2012)
  • Figure 6: Top Developers of CSP Plans Under Construction
  • Figure 7: CSP Current and Future Revenue Distribution
  • Figure 8: CSP Growth Drivers
  • Figure 9: CSP Growth Barriers
  • Figure 10: Levelized Cost Comparison of Solar CSP and Conventional Power Towards Grid Parity (KPMG)
  • Figure 11: Power Sales Agreement Contract Structure in India
  • Figure 12: US Renewable Energy Portfolio Standard
  • Figure 13: US Energy Mix
  • Figure 14: US Grid Distribution Interconnects (US EIA [53])
  • Figure 15: NERC Regional Entities [53]
  • Figure 16: California Summer Daily Demand Curve [54]
  • Figure 17: Natural Gas Spot Prices (Henry Hub, EIA [53])
  • Figure 18: REIPPPP Allocation (MW) per Technology in South Africa
  • Figure 19: CSP MW Allocation According to IRP 2010-2030 [7]
  • Figure 20: Current IPP Procurement Program Structure in South Africa
  • Figure 21: Electricity Price Evolution in Chilean Grid* (CNE, CER [24])
  • Figure 22: Double PPA Structure Proposed in Morocco
  • Figure 23: CSP Electricity Management Structure in Morocco
  • Figure 25: Current Chinese Electricity Market
  • Figure 26: NEM Structure*
  • Figure 27: Installed Capacity in Spain (December 2011)
  • Figure 28: Distribution Utilities in Spain (Proyectos Tipo [50])
  • Figure 29: Electricity Market Structure
  • Figure 30: Spanish Winter Daily Demand Curve [51]
  • Figure 31: Spanish Summer Daily Demand Curve [51]
  • Figure 32: End-of-Year CSP Cumulative Capacity in Spain
  • Figure 33: IWPP Structure in UAE
  • Figure 34: Daily Electricity Demand (Source: IEC)
  • Figure 35: Jordan’s Single Buyer Model
  • Figure 36: Global Optimistic Market Forecast
  • Figure 37: Global Conservative Market Forecast
  • Figure 38: Global Pessimistic Market Forecast
  • Figure 39: Global CSP Forecast
  • Figure 40: CSP Market Segmentation by Installed Capacity [46]
  • Figure 41: Optimistic LCOE Reduction
  • Figure 42: Conservative LCOE Reduction
  • Figure 43: Pessimistic LCOE Reduction
  • Figure 44: Forecasted LCOE Reduction – All Scenarios
  • Figure 45: Global Optimistic Installed CSP Capacity Breakdown
  • Figure 46: Global Conservative Installed CSP Capacity Breakdown
  • Figure 47: Global Pessimistic Installed CSP Capacity Breakdown
  • Figure 48: Cumulative Installed CSP Capacity in Spain
  • Figure 49: Cumulative Installed CSP Capacity in the USA
  • Figure 50: Cumulative Installed CSP Capacity in India
  • Figure 51: Cumulative Installed CSP Capacity in MENA
  • Figure 52: Cumulative Installed CSP Capacity in South Africa
  • Figure 53: Cumulative Installed Capacity in Asia Pacific
  • Figure 54: Forecast Strategic Factors
  • Figure 55: Technology Diffusion Lifecycle
  • Figure 56: CSP Market Indicators and Influential Factors

List of Tables
  • Table 1: CSP Market Technology Segmentation
  • Table 2: CSP Market Technology Segmentation (Under Construction)
  • Table 3: CSP Projects with Loan Guarantee Support (DOE)
  • Table 4: CSP Industry Project Pipeline Overview
  • Table 5: PPA Tariff Summary
  • Table 6: CSP Today Scorecard and Ranking
  • Table 7: Country overview: India
  • Table 8: Current Tariffs for Allocated CSP and PV Plants in India
  • Table 9: CSP Plants Under Operation in India
  • Table 10: CSP Plants Under Construction in India
  • Table 11: CSP Plants Announced and Under Development in India
  • Table 12: CSP Drivers and Barriers in India
  • Table 13: Country overview: Saudi Arabia
  • Table 14: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Saudi Arabia
  • Table 15: Country overview: the USA
  • Table 16: Federal and State Financing in High CSP Potential States
  • Table 17. RPS Summary in CSP Favorable States
  • Table 18: CSP Operating Plants in the USA
  • Table 19: CSP Plants Under Construction in the USA
  • Table 20: CSP Plants Under Development in the USA
  • Table 21: Announced CSP Plants in the USA
  • Table 22: CSP Drivers and Barriers in the USA
  • Table 23: Country overview: South Africa
  • Table 24: CSP Projects Announced as Preferred Bidders in the First and Second Rounds of the REIPPPP
  • Table 25: CSP Plants Announced and Under Development in South Africa
  • Table 26: CSP Drivers and Barriers in South Africa
  • Table 27: Country overview: Chile
  • Table 28: CSP Plants Under Construction in Chile
  • Table 29: CSP Plants Under Development in Chile
  • Table 30: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Chile
  • Table 31: Country overview: Morocco
  • Table 32: Distribution of Responsibilities in Morocco [56]
  • Table 33: CSP Plants in Operation, Development and Announced in Morocco
  • Table 34: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Morocco
  • Table 35: Country overview: China
  • Table 36: CSP Projects Under Operation in China
  • Table 37: CSP Projects Under Construction in China
  • Table 38: CSP Projects Announced and Under Development in China
  • Table 39: CSP Drivers and Barriers in China
  • Table 40: Country overview: Australia
  • Table 41: CSP Plants in Operation, Development and Announced in Australia
  • Table 42: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Australia
  • Table 43: Country overview: Algeria
  • Table 44: CSP Plants Announced in Algeria
  • Table 45: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Algeria
  • Table 46: Country overview: Spain
  • Table 47: CSP Operating Plants in Spain
  • Table 48: CSP Plants Under Construction in Spain
  • Table 49: CSP Plants Under Development in Spain
  • Table 50: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Spain
  • Table 51: Country overview: the UAE
  • Table 52: CSP Drivers and Barriers in UAE
  • Table 53: Country overview: Tunisia
  • Table 54: CSP Plants Announced in Tunisia
  • Table 55: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Tunisia
  • Table 56: Country overview: Egypt
  • Table 57: CSP Plants Announced in Egypt
  • Table 58: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Egypt
  • Table 59: Country overview: Israel
  • Table 60: CSP Plants in Operation, Under Development and Announced in Israel
  • Table 61: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Israel
  • Table 62: Country overview: Jordan
  • Table 63: CSP Plants Under Development and Announced in Jordan
  • Table 64: CSP Drivers and Barriers in Jordan
  • Table 65: Market Forecast Summary
  • Table 65: Primary CSP Market Growth Drivers in Model
  • Table 66: Overall CSP Progress Rate [46]
  • Table 67: Scorecard Countries
  • Table 69: CSP Installed Capacity Forecast Summary
  • Table 69: Influencing Factors for CSP Development
  • Table 70: High Impact Decision Points
  • Table 71: Factor Ranking System
  • Table 72: Survey-based Indicator Weights

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Companies Interviewed

Abengoa

Acwa Power

Australian Solar Institute

Fast

Hittite

Masdar

protermo solar

RTE France

SENER

Solar Power Group